The outbreak of war in the Middle East seals Ukraine's defeat

mpri21
June 18th, 2025

The outbreak of war in the Middle East seals the defeat of Ukraine. The country has disappeared from the news, despite the fact that the war between Israel and Iran directly affects it. Meanwhile, Zelensky is concerned about rising oil prices, which will benefit the Russian economy (1), potentially boosting its war effort.

The Ukrainian president demands that aid to Ukraine not be reduced as a result of the Middle East war, "at a time when European support is stagnating without American commitment" (2). If they still have anything left in their arsenals, Western countries will give it to Israel.

The United States has thrown in the towel. It doesn't care about Ukraine or NATO. Right now, its interests are focused on Israel. The new Pentagon chief, Pete Hegseth, told the NATO defense ministers' meeting: "The reason I'm here is to make sure that every NATO country understands that every shoulder has to contribute 5 percent of its GDP, as a recognition of the nature of the threat."

Ukraine's main supporters are bankrupt countries, like Germany. German troops have begun their first permanent overseas deployment since World War II. A heavy combat unit of 4,800 soldiers and 200 civilians has been deployed in Lithuania, on the Russian border.

But Germany is going through a historic crisis. "More and more entrepreneurs are giving up," warned ARD last May. The German economy lost nearly 200,000 businesses last year. The Germans are "particularly concerned about the high number of closures in promising sectors" (3), while the arms industry, IG Metall asserts, "is not a job creator that can replace the necessary investments in technical and social infrastructure" (4).

Support for Ukraine depends on European countries in ruins. As we discussed yesterday, France, like Germany, has not a single cent left in the pot for the purchase and production of new weapons. Since the beginning of the year, the Ministry of the Armed Forces has stopped placing orders with military factories. 

Notes 

(1) https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/zelenskyy-warns-oil-price-surge-russias-war-effort-122840939

(2) https://www.timesofisrael.com/zelensky-calls-for-aid-to-ukraine-not-to-decrease-in-wake-of-israel-iran-war/ 

(3) https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/insolvenzen-hoechststand-100.html 

(4) https://www.fr.de/wirtschaft/ig-metall-vorstand-koehlinger-wir-brauchen-impulse-die-wieder-zur-zuversicht-fuehren-93787202.html

Source: https://mpr21.info/el-estallido-de-la-guerra-en-oriente-medio-sella-la-derrota-de-ucrania/