The agreement between the United States and Iran will not be fulfilled.

 

mpr21
June 16, 2026 

 Whether it is signed or not, the agreement between the United States and Iran will not be fulfilled under any circumstances, leading to a permanent state of “low-intensity warfare.” The United States has not only lost the war but also its hegemony in a strategic region like the Middle East, a situation to which it will not resign itself.

Historical experience is conclusive on this point: after the Iran hostage crisis, the United States signed the Algiers Accords in 1981, which it never honored.

In that agreement, the United States committed to not interfering politically or militarily in Iran's internal affairs and to lifting the embargo on Iranian assets, as well as the sanctions.

Given this non-compliance, Iran has copied those agreements in the new ones, almost verbatim.

It is also doubtful that the sanctions will be lifted, although it is possible that some of them will be eased.

In any case, the memorandum of understanding confirms that the United States has not achieved any of the objectives it had in mind when it launched the war. Iran’s sovereign rights to continue uranium enrichment have been recognized, albeit with ambiguous wording: 30 days after the signing, 60 days of discussions on uranium will begin in exchange for the lifting of sanctions.

Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal will remain unrestricted. Its relations with Hezbollah and other forces of the “axis of resistance” have been strengthened and will continue. The Gulf Arab states are distancing themselves from their former protector and seeking to improve their relations with Iran.

Vice President J.D. Vance has confirmed that Iran will receive $300 billion for reconstruction. “It’s the kind of resources they could have access to, provided they fulfill their part of the obligation,” he commented.

More importantly, Iran has secured the right to jointly control the Strait of Hormuz with Oman through an addition to Article 5 of the memorandum.

In an attempt to sabotage the agreement, Israel launched an attack on Beirut, and Iran immediately withdrew from the memorandum of understanding and announced retaliatory attacks against Israeli territory.

In turn, Trump publicly condemned Netanyahu for the attack on Lebanon, and Iran called off its retaliatory strikes. Trump, who was extremely keen on the memorandum of understanding being signed, had to make additional concessions. One of these guaranteed “the sovereignty and respect for the territorial integrity of Lebanon,” which Trump had not accepted in previous versions.

The United Arab Emirates pays Iran $3 billion

In the final skirmishes of the Ramadan War, the United Arab Emirates, Israel’s most loyal pawn in the Gulf, had not suffered Iranian attacks, unlike Kuwait, Jordan, and Bahrain.

This was in exchange for a payment of $3 billion. The Gulf state had taken the most forceful stance against Iran, pressuring the United States to continue the war against Iran, but was simultaneously negotiating a price.

The payment could reach $10 billion, and some sources told Reuters that it will eventually pay $20 billion.

The disbursement illustrates the significant shift the Middle East war has brought about. The United Arab Emirates joined the United States and Israel in carrying out dozens of attacks against Iran. They also tried to prevent Pakistan from acting as a mediator to broker a ceasefire.

Saudi Arabia had to grant Islamabad a new loan after the UAE demanded repayment of its debt as a sanction for hosting the meetings.

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard is Welcomed

Last week, the United Arab Emirates welcomed members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard for a meeting with Sheikh Tahnoun bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE's national security advisor and deputy governor of Abu Dhabi.

This week, the UAE also sent diplomats to participate in face-to-face talks with senior Iranian officials to reduce tensions, according to Bloomberg. The meeting appears to have been held in Tehran to avert an attack on the UAE.

It is unclear whether the compensation paid to Iran came from accounts linked to Tehran, which Abu Dhabi had frozen, or from Emirati sovereign wealth funds. 

A Financial Hub for Iran

For decades, the UAE has been a financial hub for Iran, illustrating that business between the two countries transcended political rivalry. Iranians are major players in the UAE's real estate market.

After the start of the war against Iran, the United Arab Emirates threatened to freeze billions of dollars linked to Iran, but there was never any public confirmation that they carried out their threat.

The agreement between the two countries would allow Iran to secure the compensation it demanded in exchange for a ceasefire, while allowing Trump to pretend that he has not paid Iran a single cent.

Source: https://mpr21.info/el-acuerdo-entre-estados-unidos-e-iran-no-se-va-a-cumplir/