A bizarre collapse of births in Mexico

Claudio Fabián Guevara
15 March, 2024

 A news item from the “Diario de Querétaro” published on March 13, 2024 reports a 78% decrease in births in that state.

A reduction of that magnitude is worrying if what we are interested in is that a population remains stable and that its age structure is not altered. It is not only the fact that fewer people are born than people who die (that is, it leads to negative population growth), but it also has a practical impact in the immediate workplace. Let me explain: if fewer people are born, then within a couple of decades the workforce will decrease, and there will be no way to continue paying pensions for retired people.

Of course, if older people also die at a higher rate, then that 'little problem' of pensions is also solved. After all, the projections of the United Nations (UN) itself are already — evidently — negative, and world fertility is also projected downward, so much so that it will exceed the generational replacement rate in a few years (leading to negative population growth).

According to the news from the Diario de Querétaro, births in the state “went from 33,728 to 7,507 in just one year” (that is, a reduction of 78% in a single year) and the trend is national. “At the national level, there is also a marked decrease compared to 2022.”

A thesis student a while ago asked me if this couldn't be due to couples not wanting to have children, or due to the fact that there is an emigration of adults of childbearing age to other states of the republic or to other countries. It is good to explore the many possible answers to complex problems. However, these are not parsimonious explanations for the reduction in fertility. Why so? Because it is not over the last year that some couples have suddenly decided not to have children. Unlike European countries, Mexico is a conservative and largely Catholic country, and many couples still choose to have children. So, if this explanation were true, there would have been a gradual decrease in births in the state. Instead, we see a reduction that took place in a year, so abruptly that it warranted a news piece by the Diario de Querétaro. Nor can the decrease be justified by a high emigration rate because, in reality, the opposite is taking place in Querétaro: more than 100 people a day arrive in our state, something which generates, at least for now, a positive growth in the population. So, it's not that. And if it is not that, this means that “something” (else) is causing these declines in fertility.

I wonder what it could be. Could it be that “something” that reaches the ovaries and testicles, and which has at least three mechanisms of action which can bring about a decrease in male and female fertility (as described in Chapters 5 and 6 of the book “Adverse Effects” ) and which was not applied to the sexually mature adult population before the beginning of 2021, could be the cause? Or, maybe I'm just being baselessly suspicious and it's really all down to climate change.

Overall, surely those who are taking advantage of this situation will benefit from this too.

Obviously I cannot prove that the drop in the birth rate is due to the gene-based Covid vaccines. But it would be irresponsible not to raise it as a possibility and study it seriously when the requisite data are available (we would need to know if women who are unable to get pregnant or men with low sperm success received one or more doses of these gene-therapy products ). As long as we do not have this information, it is only one possible explanation, but it is one that has high support in terms of its biological plausibility.

So I end this piece with an opinion. Somebody said to me a few days ago that the “Covid vaccines were useless.” I beg to differ. It seems to me that they did exactly what they were intended to do. Not for their publicly-declared purpose, but for what was truly intended. 

Source: https://diariodevallarta.com/insolito-derrumbe-de-nacimientos-en-mexico/